Why is the outbreak of talents from artificial intelligence from Mark Zuckerberg is not a guarantee that dead will be attached to the competitors

Why is the outbreak of talents from artificial intelligence from Mark Zuckerberg is not a guarantee that dead will be attached to the competitors

GettyImages-2173579243-e1752175119182 Why is the outbreak of talents from artificial intelligence from Mark Zuckerberg is not a guarantee that dead will be attached to the competitors

Last week alone, Meta has gone more than ten researchers of artificial intelligence From peer companies, he granted all immediate cash rewards worth $ 100 million in a feverish effort to keep pace with the male arms race after that Backwardness Market leaders like Openai and Anthropic.

But perhaps Dead CEO Mark Zuckerberg should have remembered the immortal abstinence of Beatles Classic Hit Beatles that “cannot buy me love” – ​​or in this case, buy performance.

Many remember the collapse of Michael Eisner in Disney Shortly after Loss of 140 million dollars Ultra agent Michael Ofitz, from He left the failure shortly after joining. Similarly, Yahoo The celebration stole Google Henrik de Castro star for about $ 60 million, but he came out after his first year in 2014.

There are many examples across sectors and through history that shows that a load of money on the higher talents of competitors is not sufficient on their own. From sport to invention to investment management – and even our academic field – the way to decline is scattered with warning tales of confidence in its place from throwing money in the best talent to no avail. It turned out that the bone is more difficult to buy than it seems, and unless Zuckerberg could not stop the main drivers of artificial intelligence and the recession of innovation in Meta, the recent employment spray may only turn into another warning story.

Failure to failure – messianic delusions

One of the causes of overfishing from the higher talents of competitors often ends badly is because of these companies often get the best talent after they have already reached their peak. There is no more clear challenge than the world of sports, as most athletes shout on young people and deteriorate with age and injuries.

In the eighties of the last century, the owner of New York Yanxiz George Steinberner Become notorious For luxurious Megadeals to shower on aging stars more famous for their decorated past than their current performance or future capabilities. He also created Steinbarner Record For the largest contracts that were ever removed, Yanxiz was screaming in mediocrity as these aging stars turned into half -injury statues.

Their opinions hurt me, many of these frustrated and self -coordinated stars criticizeTransforming the yancies into laughter from internal fighting, functional imbalance, and unnecessary drama in the drought of a heroism for more than a decade. Ironically, it was not until Steinbarner’s comment – after that Try to pay a gambler To dirt dirt on the star of aging to get out of a particularly bad contract-and after the son finally went out of the younger stars on the rise of Yanxiz, he finally recovered.

This is the phenomenon of productivity in the early recession, and the decrease is prevailing beyond sports. In academic circles, many studies have shown that faculty and university researchers, in areas ranging from science to mathematics, Publishing more multiply Early of their career, and this is their research The output decreases significantly After achieving a period. Likewise, IVY League schools are often accused From the use of the cupBring the winners of the Nobel Prize and other prominent scientists after they had already reached the height of their intellectual contributions.

She brought a Christ from abroad to save institutions that rarely rise to the level of expectations. Consider the case of Ray Ozzie, the widespread impressed software that has created leading programs like Lotus Notes and GROOVE. Ozzie was brought by Bill Gates to save Microsoft In the beginning of the first decade of the twentieth century, but despite the infinite Ozzie ratios, it is Fetch In the company because he was unable to re -create his early charm and Failure Many in the way of new programs.

Correspondence between wages and performance

It is not only related to the late decline. From the beginning, correspondence between wages and performance is less clear than one expects – and sometimes it resembles a negative bond.

In the business world, Many studies I found that the salaries of the higher CEO had a little impact on the long -term stock performance. In reality, According to MSCIThe revenues of the medium shareholders tend to be much higher when the company’s CEO is at the highest 20 % wages, while stock returns tend to be less when the company’s CEO is at the highest 20 % of wage.

In fact, the esteemed executives such as Warren Buffett, Jesus Huang and Jeff Bezos were notorious to draw relatively low cash salaries despite the very strong performance, similar to legendary founders such as Jim Singal CostecoBerne Marcos Home DepotAnd Jim Casey from UPSThose who took their compensation greatly in the stock. On the other hand, CEOs are more controversial Adam Newman in Wework and Dennis Cozlovsky in Tyco Made lavish, Make disperse from their treasury bonds While directing their companies on the ground.

Likewise, in us Previous research In historical investment, the poor performance of the general pension funds in Connecticut for all fifty pension funds, and we found that the greater the major investment officials in the state, the more worse their performance.

Predominantly

In the case of Meta, it is clear that Zuckerberg depends on the spray of its spending to feed the innovation of artificial intelligence with the Meta located behind its peers. This ignores an essential problem in innovation and creativity, which is that many innovative geniuses who invented the transformative inventions failed to benefit financially from their own ingenuity while demanding the most aggressive singles and entrepreneurship with credit and profit.

These examples include Tim Berners Lee, who has not gained a penny to create a global web network; Elie Whitney, who was a similar performance from his invention of cotton gene; Martin Cooper, Engineer Motorola, who was the father of mobile mobile phone with modern hand, has never benefited from; Robert Kirins, who invented a intermittent windshield but stuck to litigation for the rest of his life against auto manufacturers to protect his patent; And Spence Silver, a 3m The engineer, who was then created, was requested by colleagues who received the credit for his invention.

These creative introverts have transformed the world through the inventions that were subjected to industrial and technological revolutions, yet they were either unwilling or unable to play the game, as they fell on more aggressive personalities and entrepreneurship around them who obtained profitable financial rewards.

Skiing

If there are signs at all when the top of the bubble madness can be near that, then the following will be: First, when every taxi driver and the hair stipulation talk about it and diving in it; Second, when all students of the College of Business Administration try to obtain relevant jobs; And thirdly, when companies rid vibrant cash rewards for sincere talent from competitors.

This is exactly what happened with the Wall Street arms race for mortgage traders in the period before the great financial crisis, which provides some amazing lessons for the dead. SEO at that time from Merrill Lynch, Stan O’Neill, Cash rewards of about $ 50 million have provided To climb the elite mortgage traders from competitors such as Credit Suisse and Bear Stearns, and Ear of these mercenaries To carry enormous risks with a little censorship. Then these traders built a huge mortgage portfolio that blew up when it struck the 2008 crisis, with Merrill Loss of billions overnight And I was forced to integrate the sales of the fire with Bank of America.

In the case of Meta, an artificial intelligence engineers can represent a similar case of skiing to a picker, not where the picker is going, because the rapid pace of innovation in artificial intelligence led to many new artificial intelligence breakthroughs coming from startups and disruption in young people instead of their occupants. Moreover, many engineers claim that the emergence of artificial intelligence led to the coding becomes an increased commodity, Convert some software developers into exchangeable parts.

Dependence on the stars in exchange for the cultures of inspiration

Indeed, the leading voices inside Meta warn that Meta’s problems of artificial intelligence Warning this week only From “metastatic cancer” that affects the development of artificial intelligence Meta among the “culture of fear” and incompetent leadership.

This year provides a strong reminder of the risk of relying on stars in exchange for the possibility of inspiration to push the weak towards unexpected heights. the Favorite possibilities The Kansas City Chief, with well -known stars like Patrick Machoum and Tarvis Kelly, but they fell into the dominant Philadelphia eagles that are proud A coherent unit of stars ascending Those who may lack greatness and the individual position of any number of players.

For Mark Zuckerberg, Super Bowl is a strong reminder that money can buy a lot of things – but she can not buy everything.

The opinions expressed in cutting comments Fortune.com are only the opinions of their authors and do not necessarily reflect opinions and beliefs luck.

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